Assessment of Damage Aggregation for Weapons Salvos.
Technical rept. Sep 96-Mar 97,
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF MATHEMATICS
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Estimation of the expected proportion of an area target destroyed by a salvo of weapons is an important problem in weapons systems effectiveness studies. Analysts sometimes use an approximate formula called the empirical rule for this purpose. Esary demonstrated that this rule consistently over estimates the parameter of interest. In this report, we propose a modification to the empirical rule that appears to provide significantly improved estimates of the cumulative damage.
- Statistics and Probability