Accession Number:

ADA326876

Title:

War 2010: The Emergence of the Wild Card Scenario.

Descriptive Note:

Research rept.,

Corporate Author:

ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s):

• Rosello, Victor M.

Report Date:

1997-04-07

Pagination or Media Count:

35.0

Abstract:

This research paper explores the possibility of using prophecy-based predictions to create worst case scenarios or wild cards, when examined within the context of current trends and indicators of world threats. Based on the interpretations of some of the more popular prophecies, a chilling scenario develops in which China plays a prominent future role in conjunction with its ally, Iran. This paper provides options on how these worst case scenarios can be employed in assisting the US armed forces to prepare for a potentially cataclysmic future. Secondary themes addressed are the dilemmas confronting military professionals presented with prophecy-based predictions and the adequacy of the threat-based analysis system to prepare the US armed forces for future conflict in a wild card scenario.

Descriptors:

• *SCENARIOS
• *PREDICTIONS
• *THREATS
• *IRAN
• *CHINA
• NUCLEAR WARFARE
• GLOBAL
• PATTERNS
• INDICATORS

Subject Categories:

• Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE