Theory, Doctrine, and Ball Bearings: Adapting Future Technology to Warfare.
ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MIL ITARY STUDIES
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This study examines factors influencing the development of theory and doctrine based on emerging and future technology. It uses the air power theory of Giulio Douhet and the unescorted daylight strategic bombing doctrine of the US Army Air Force to illustrate hazards in projecting into the future as a means of constructing theory and doctrine. This study begins with Douhets strategic bombing theory. It traces the difficulty in applying the rigor of scientific method to future-based theory as compared to conventional military theory. The analysis focuses on two aspects of the dangers in developing theory based on future or emerging technology along this rational methodology extrapolation of recent experience into the future and the inherent perishablity of assumptions based on technological advancement. Douhets theory formed the intellectual foundation for two major US air offensives in World War 2. The evolution of strategic bombing doctrine by the AAF demonstrates the impact of two institutional influences that shaped doctrinal development internal organizational pressures and a slide from doctrine into dogma. The AAF experience in developing its strategic bombing doctrine from Douhets air power theory holds lessons for todays effort to in crafting a way to wage war in the next century.
- Fire Control and Bombing Systems
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics