Foreign Missile Threats. Analytic Soundness of Certain National Intelligence Estimates
GENERAL ACCOUNTING OFFICE WASHINGTON DC NATIONAL SECURITY AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS DIV
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This report responds to your letter of February 28,1996, asking us to evaluate certain National Intelligence Estimates NIE prepared by the U.S. Intelligence Community IC that analyze the threat to the United States from foreign missile systems. As arranged with your office, our reporting objectives were to compare the content and conclusions of NIE 95-19, Emerging Missile Threats to North America During the Next 15 Years, November 1995, with the content and conclusions of two previous NIES prepared in 1993 to evaluate whether these three NIES appear to be objective and supported by facts and to describe the conclusions of recent, unclassified studies on the threat to the United States from foreign missile systems. This report supplements our June 12, 1996, briefing to you and is an unclassified version of our classified report. All of our findings are contained in this report the omitted classified information concerned detailed examples drawn from the NIES to support our findings and observations.
- Military Intelligence