Accession Number:

ADA285477

Title:

Ukraine: Europe's Next Crisis?

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1994-08-01

Pagination or Media Count:

10.0

Abstract:

The emergence of an independent Ukraine was one of the most important geopolitical results of the collapse of the former Soviet Union. It dramatically changed the geostrategic map of Europe, creating a critical strategic buffer between Russia and Europe, especially Eastern Europe. But two years after independence, Ukraine is in the midst of a severe political and economic crisis that could have major and immediate consequences not only for Ukraines political future and security orientation, but for Western policy. If not contained, these trends could create centrifugal pressures that could lead to a fragmentation of the country, possibly provoking civil war and perhaps even Russian intervention. A reincorporation of Ukraine into a Russian-dominated confederation would have major geopolitical implications. It would also pose a major strategic challenge of how to deal with a resurgent Russia. In short, Ukraines evolution could have a profound influence on the post-cold War security order, and the situation is fraught with considerable danger

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management
  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Government and Political Science
  • Geography
  • Defense Systems
  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE