Ethnic Conflict in Central Europe and the Balkans: A Framework and U.S. Policy Options
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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This Report provides an analytical framework for examining the potential for militarized ethnic conflict in the central part of Europe and the Balkans. It offers some ways for anticipating the likelihood and the probable intensity of ethnically based competition and its potential as a source of interstate conflict, and it proposes some policies the United States in general and the U.S. Army specifically might adopt to deal with the problem. The framework should serve to pinpoint the future flashpoints, and it may result in the adoption of certain policies that can prevent potential conflicts from becoming actualized. The research reported here was performed as part of a larger project, After the Warsaw Pact The Revolution in Military and Political Affairs in the Former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe Implications for the U.S. Army, conducted within the Arroyo Centers Strategy and Doctrine Program and sponsored by the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, U.S. Army. The broader project assesses the security outlook in the former communist countries of Europe since the end of the bloc system. This Report should be of interest to policymakers and analysts concerned with post-communist Europe and the overall transformation of the former communist states.
- Government and Political Science
- Sociology and Law