Accession Number:

ADA280498

Title:

Personnel Attrition Rates in Historical Land Combat Operations: A Note on the Probability of Readmissions and Multiple Wounds

Descriptive Note:

Final rept. Feb-Apr 1994

Corporate Author:

ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY BETHESDA MD

Personal Author(s):

• Helmbold, Robert L.

Report Date:

1994-04-01

Pagination or Media Count:

58.0

Abstract:

This paper develops a model of the probability of multiple incidence. The model is based on an application of the Maximum Entropy Principle. The predictions of this model are tested against data on the number of aircraft with multiple personnel casualties, the number of casualties with multiple anatomical regions wounded, the number of personnel with multiple wounds, and the number of personnel with multiple WIA admissions. It is shown that in several instances, the model gives reasonably accurate fits to the data. This model will be useful to those engaged in weapons systems analysis and development, wargaming and simulation, studies of military medical and personnel support systems, and the assessment of personal protective devices. Personnel, Combat, Attrition, Battle, Casualties, Losses

Descriptors:

• *CASUALTIES
• *WOUNDS AND INJURIES
• *PERSONNEL
• WEAPONS
• SIMULATION
• WARFARE
• AIRCRAFT
• PREDICTIONS
• LOSSES
• ENTROPY
• PAPER
• BATTLES
• NUMBERS
• SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
• MODELS
• ARMY PERSONNEL
• COMBAT READINESS
• PROBABILITY
• ATTRITION
• REGIONS

Subject Categories:

• Personnel Management and Labor Relations
• Weapons Effects (Biological)

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE