Accession Number:

ADA279503

Title:

Estimating Enemy Capabilities and Intentions: The Sword Cuts Both Ways

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.

Corporate Author:

NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI DEPT OF OPERATIONS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1994-02-08

Pagination or Media Count:

35.0

Abstract:

This paper presents the planned U.S. invasion of Japan 1945 as a case study demonstrating the important of the estimate of enemy capabilities to the operational planning process. In the final months prior to the Japanese surrender in August 1945, the Allies were alarmed to note Japanese reinforcement of the planned invasion sites. The Japanese had correctly assessed their enemys capabilities and intentions, and significantly complicated the final stages of allied invasion planning. Had the invasion been executed, the Japanese strategy of exploiting American war weariness might have succeeded. The lesson is equally applicable to todays operational planners the enemy is estimating your capabilities and intentions - if he is correct in his assessment, he can counter, disrupt, or seriously complicate your mission.

Subject Categories:

  • Military Forces and Organizations
  • Military Intelligence
  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE