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Analysis of Thunder Combat Simulation Model
AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
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TAC THUNDER, or THUNDER, is a two-sided large scale computer simulation model that simulates air and ground combat, logistics, and limited airlift at the theater level. It is in use by several allied nations, major defense contractors, and various Department of Defense DoD analysis agencies. The objectives of this thesis effort were to examine the overall model variability, examine the model output for possible interrelationships, and examine the model sensitivity to input parameters. A univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to examine the first two objectives. The univariate analysis consisted of an analysis of the confidence intervals and replication requirements for specific measures of outcome MOOs. The multivariate analysis consisted of a principal components analysis PCA and factor analysis FA. The third objective consisted of three analysis methodologies. These three methodologies were used to analyze the significance of specific input variables to specific output variables. These three methodologies were then examined for consistency.
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