Accession Number:

ADA275902

Title:

Where Does Cuba Stand?

Descriptive Note:

Special rept.

Corporate Author:

ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1994-01-14

Pagination or Media Count:

31.0

Abstract:

Given the potential explosiveness of the Cuban crisis and the possibility of U.S. military involvement, the author examines the Cuban situation. Current events raise questions about security issues for the United States as well as about the effectiveness and wisdom of the three-decade-old U. S. policy of containment and punishment. Many observers believe that the Castro regime is in its final hour, and its passing could be accompanied by massive bloodshed, causing a new wave of refugees to southern Florida. The author argues that since Castros current policy of re-equilibration is not likely to succeed, only two options remain open deepening the process of government-led reform or continuing the current policy, with growing chances of violence and turmoil. The author suggests that since the former might jeopardize Castros hegemonic position, the latter is the more probable option. Castro regime, Re- equilibration, Government-led reform, Communist Party of Cuba PCC, Revolutionary Armed Forces FAR, Interior Ministry MININT, Cuba.

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Government and Political Science
  • Geography
  • Defense Systems

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE