Target Prioritization to Optimize Expected Utility for a Random Battle Scenario
Final rept. Jul 1990-Sep 1991
ARMY BALLISTIC RESEARCH LAB ABERDEEN PROVING GROUND MD
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The U.S. Army Ballistic Research Laboratory has been investigating the application of stochastic techniques to the problem of target value analysis TVA i.e., assigning values to targets as an aid in the target selection process. Stochastic techniques were successfully applied when a friendly fire unit and two or more enemy targets were engaged in a simple battle. Here the simple battle has been extended to a random battle scenario. The problems associated with TVA are again examined from the standpoint of optimizing some utility function. Expected values of the utility functions are derived in terms of the parameters of interest, rate of fire and probability of kill, associated with a random battle. In the case of two enemy targets, an optimal target engagement ordering for all utilities can be obtained. Some special cases of utilities are considered, and the results generalized for an arbitrary target array.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics
- Fire Control and Bombing Systems