Meteorological Influences on Smoke/Obscurant Effectiveness. Phase 2. Volume 1
Final rept. Aug 1989-Nov 1991
SIGMA RESEARCH CORP WESTFORD MA
Pagination or Media Count:
Uncertainties in modeling meteorological influences on smokeobscurant concentrations are evaluated. Three components of modeling uncertainty are identified--input data uncertainties, random or stochastic uncertainties, and uncertainties due to model formulation. A method is proposed for analyzing smokeobscurant field tests in order to determine whether there is a significant difference in source emissions between groups of tests. The method is tested using measurements from several field experiments, including U.S. Army smokeobscurant tests. This scheme may also be applicable to other scientific endeavors where confidence limits on measured and-predicted data must be assessed.