Accession Number:

ADA254216

Title:

Probability Forecasting: A Guide for Forecasters and Staff Weather Officers

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept.

Corporate Author:

AIR WEATHER SERVICE SCOTT AFB IL

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1991-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

125.0

Abstract:

Describes recommended techniques for producing and evaluating probability forecasts. Includes a selected number of applications for optimal decision-making. Chapters 1-4 address specific needs of forecasters and supervisors who make and evaluate subjective probability forecasts. Chapters 5-7 address applications of probabilities in decision-making, primarily for staff weather officers and staffmets.

Descriptors:

• *PROBABILITY
• *WEATHER FORECASTING
• *CLIMATOLOGY
• DECISION MAKING
• METEOROLOGY
• SUPERVISORS
• FORECASTING
• WEATHER

Subject Categories:

• Meteorology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE