Accession Number:

ADA250615

Title:

Against Conditionalization

Descriptive Note:

Corporate Author:

ROCHESTER UNIV NY DEPT OF PHILOSOPHY

Report Date:

1989-03-16

Pagination or Media Count:

34.0

Abstract:

In this paper we argue that the epistemic levies which Bayesians exact in return for bestowing the benison of rationality on human believers are extortionate. We propose to pose a systematic challenge to Bayesian principles, from Dutch Book to conditionalization to Reflection, focusing on the issue of conditionalization. We will show that conditionalization is by no means the only rational method of updating belief if it is a rational method at all. And the reasons we will delineate in favor of this view will cast doubt on both Dutch Book argument and Reflection. We will show that an agent might and sometimes ought be counted rational even if does not conditionalize or Reflect or avow Dutch Book. These principle, we will demonstrate, discount too much which is rational as unworthy. We will cry Justice and proclaim that rationality need not come as dear as they insist. Artificial Intelligence, Data Fusion, Conditionalization.

Subject Categories:

  • Humanities and History
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Operations Research

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE