Accession Number:

ADA239667

Title:

Roles and Phases in Superpower Deterrence and Escalation Control

Descriptive Note:

Interim rept.,

Corporate Author:

RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1990-10-01

Pagination or Media Count:

74.0

Abstract:

This Note presents an analysis of possible actions, such as force movements and communications, the United States might take to deter the Soviet Union or other powers during a variety of crisis situations. The analysis examines contingencies and options by using a framework that identifies possible superpower roles and distinguishes among different stylized phases of crisis and conflict. This framework posits and develops three alternative superpower roles 1 the True Believer--an actor in a historic, ideological struggle between Soviet Marxism-Leninism and Western capitalistic liberal democracy 2 the Competitor--a pursuer of national interests in the framework of competing blocs and alliances organized around the great powers and subject to nuclear-era constraints and 3 the Stabilizer--seeking to maintain relative order and to contain risks. The analysis posits four phases in conflict scenarios opening, posturing, engagement, and concluding. The analysis includes a consideration of the impact of Soviet deterrence actions on the United States and the impact of both U.S. and Soviet deterrence actions on other parties.

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management
  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE