Accession Number:

ADA238846

Title:

A Threat-Based Theater War Damage Methodology

Descriptive Note:

Final rept. Jan-Jun 1991

Corporate Author:

ARMY ENGINEER STUDIES CENTER FORT BELVOIR VA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1991-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

117.0

Abstract:

Engineers are responsible for repairing or replacing war-damaged sustainment base facilities. Planning for the amounts and kinds of war damage repair is, however, confounded by the vagaries of war. Theater wargames generally ignore damage at rear-area installations, and war damage models typically confine their analysis to direct and collateral facility damage at one installation under one attack. The Engineer Studies Center ESC has used various approaches to estimate theater damage in its series of engineer assessments. In its most recent studies, ESC has developed a general methodology and a PC-based computer program that extends the capabilities of the installation-level damage models to theater-level analysis. The approach incorporates scenario data and actual threat capability to estimate damage by facility, installation, and time. The primary purpose of ESCs threat-based with a rough, but reproducible and rational, estimate of war damage for planning purposes. The accessibility of the program and the relative immediacy of results enable the user to quickly explore alternative scenarios or hypotheses. This report describes that methodology and the damage model upon which it relies.

Subject Categories:

  • Computer Programming and Software
  • Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE