Simulated Central Region Conflicts at Nominal Parity and Low Force Levels
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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An important objective in the ongoing Conventional Forces in Europe CFE negotiations is achieving a stable military balance at equal force levels, levels far below current Warsaw Pact levels and somewhat below those of NATO. There is also increased interest in considering much lower force levels e.g., 50 percent of those NATO currently has. This Note documents simulation experiments used as part of a larger policy analysis, exploring some of the issues that arise if one considers hypothetical conventional conflicts in Europes Central Region with the sides having equal numbers of forces at levels ranging from 45 equivalent divisions EDs down to 18. It also includes some discussion of the important problem of what happens at low force levels when the attacker in fact has a theater force ratio advantage, despite negotiated parity in some Atlantic-to-the-Urals ATTU aggregates.
- Military Forces and Organizations
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics