Time Estimation at the Operational Level of War
Monograph rept. AY 1989-1990
ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES
Pagination or Media Count:
This monograph examines time estimation at the operational level of war. The study begins with a review of Classical Military Theory to identify the theoretical basis for time estimation. It next examines the Theory of Operational Art to discern significant differences between it and classical theory. This theoretical basis is used as a foundation to examine current approved doctrine relating to operational art focusing specifically on tasks requiring the estimation of time. The next chapter provides two historical case studies of failed time estimation Napoleons 1812 Campaign in Russia, and Frances defeat in 1940. These historical examples illustrate the criticality of achieving harmony between the time-space-force calculations made by the commander and the nature of the conflict being fought. Organizations, processes, and technical means define the set of resources available to the commander for this task. Should those tools be inappropriate to the nature or level of the conflict, failure is a likely result.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics