Accession Number:

ADA207467

Title:

Updating Nuclear Effects in Theater Models

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.

Corporate Author:

ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY BETHESDA MD

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1988-11-01

Pagination or Media Count:

43.0

Abstract:

Large-scale, low-resolution simulation models frequently group nuclear weapons effects against area targets into a few aggregated state vectors. This can create serious inaccuracies in the treatment of multiple burst and other time-dependent effects. This paper presents improved techniques for updating nuclear weapon effects against area targets, allowing the analyst to model the processes of delay injury damage, recovery repair over time, and the effects of subsequent nuclear bursts. Our approach is to store the effects in a state vector of coefficients for a piecewise Pareto distribution. Examples illustrating the benefits of this approach are provided. This procedure will be implemented in the US Army Concepts Analysis Agency IWFORCEM theater model, but is applicable to any low-resolution simulation that includes nuclear effects representation. Keywords Simulation models, Probability models, Theater combat model, Nuclear effects.

Subject Categories:

  • Statistics and Probability
  • Nuclear Warfare

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE