Accession Number:

ADA191640

Title:

Realistic Planning Scenarios.

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.,

Corporate Author:

INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA

Personal Author(s):

• Blechman, Barry M.
• Smyrl, Marc E.
• Utgoff, Victor A.

Report Date:

1987-07-01

Pagination or Media Count:

541.0

Abstract:

The study examines the changes in international relations and in the behavior of the great powers that would be required to move the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. from their present stance of competition short of war to one of direct military conflict. While the study of course does not attempt to predict the future, it does isolate those key variables that will determine the evolution of the international environment and suggest internally consistent patterns into which these variables might develop. In this way, a war number of plausible alternative futures leading to U.S.Soviet war are constructed. These alternative futures can be used to test whether the U.S. defense posture is adequately robust to deal with the wide variety of potential challenges it may be asked to deter or defend against in the future.

Descriptors:

• *MILITARY OPERATIONS
• SCENARIOS
• UNITED STATES
• USSR
• CONFLICT

Subject Categories:

• Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE