Accession Number:

ADA184124

Title:

An Interactive Organizational Choice Processing System to Support Decision Making by Using a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1987-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

92.0

Abstract:

This thesis discusses and implements an interactive decision support system using a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model. The fundamental presumption is that if the choice-outcome relationships in an organization can be observed and evaluated, it is possible to extract predictiveness from uncertain streams, and allow the organization to shift to a less random strategy. Solving organizational problems consists of selecting those choices that lead the organization in a direction towards the ideal state. Thus, it is convenient to model the organizational state transitions as a Markovian process with stationary properties. The purpose of a Prescriptive Garbage Can Model is to advise the participants of the choices available in a current situation, and to present choice policies leading the highest potential benefits. Also a method of interfacing the current system with an expert system for intelligent decision making is examined.

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management
  • Operations Research

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE