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A Comparative Analysis of a Generalized Lanchester Equation Model and a Stochastic Computer Simulation Model.
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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This thesis involved a numerical experiment to compare a deterministic Generalized Lanchester Equation model, referred to as the MW model, and a stochastic computer simulation model, referred to as the CS model. A discussion of the historical background of Lanchesters equations precedes the presentation of the two models and the experimental design. The results are presented graphically and show that the MW force level trajectory is a good approximation for the CS force level trajectory. It was also shown that the two models trajectories behaved similarly. These results indicate that deterministic attrition models may often be good approximations for the mean of stochastic combat attrition models. Command and control applications of a model like the MW model, are presented and a list of suggested follow-on research is provided to stimulate further work in this area. Keywords Command, Control and communications Theses.
APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE