Accession Number:

ADA183221

Title:

Decision Template Concept: Demonstration Plan and Status Report.

Descriptive Note:

Interim progress rept.,

Corporate Author:

DECISIONS AND DESIGNS INC MCLEAN VA

Personal Author(s):

• Kelly,Clinton W. , III
• Gulick,Roy M.

Report Date:

1979-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

40.0

Abstract:

The major contractual effort thus far has been the development and continuous refinement of two software decision aids R-SCREEN Rapid Screening and OPSEL Option Selection. Both of the aids are programmed to run on an IBM 5100 minicomputer, and both have been installed in the Joint Operations Division in the Pentagon since early April. R-SCREEN, which supports hierarchical decomposition evaluation models, has been used by the JOD staff. OPSEL, which addresses decision making in the face of uncertainty, has received less attention by the staff to date. Examples of crisis situations amenable to solution by the two decision aids described above are appended. Appendix A is a real crisis situation that was addressed by a military staff using the types of decision aids discussed herein. Appendix B is a hypothetical crisis situation that has been used in training conducted for high-level students at the U.S, Army War College and senior analysts in the Intelligence Community. This report summarizes the progress to date and describes the work yet to be accomplished.

Descriptors:

• *DECISION MAKING
• *COMPUTER PROGRAMS
• ANALYSTS
• DEMONSTRATIONS
• INTELLIGENCE
• PLANNING
• REFINING
• TEMPLATES
• MINICOMPUTERS
• CRISIS MANAGEMENT
• MILITARY PERSONNEL

Subject Categories:

• Psychology
• Computer Programming and Software

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE