Monte Carlo Layered Defense Model
INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA
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The Monte Carlo Layered Defense Model includes boost-phase defense, midcourse defense and terminal defense. It accounts for every offensive missile, RV, heavy decoy and light decoy. For near-perfect defense of a value target data base, the accounting for each RV through the succession of layers is critical, since it is not possible in advance to know if leakage or exhaustion will be the source of kill when the final events involve small integer interactions. The model is quite flexible. In the boost-phase layer, the options for battle managementcommand, control and communications BMC3 include random decentralized, efficient centralized, and preferential according to number of RVs on the missiles. In the midcourse layer, the BMC3 options include random, efficient, and preferential, in which the attack is shaped such that it can be handled as well as possible by the terminal defense in the heuristic sense, not in the guaranteed optimal sense. In the terminal layer a number of different attack and defense situations are represented. The example presented in the documentation gives test results for many combinations of defense force levels and BMC3 capabilities.
- Guided Missiles