Accession Number:

ADA171211

Title:

A Cost of Leaving Model for Forecasting Civilian Engineers' Retention Behavior under Alternative Retirement Systems.

Descriptive Note:

Final rept. Jan-Dec 83,

Corporate Author:

NAVY PERSONNEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT CENTER SAN DIEGO CA MANPOWER AND PERSONNEL LAB

Personal Author(s):

• Thompson,Theodore J.

Report Date:

1986-07-01

Pagination or Media Count:

33.0

Abstract:

Civilians comprise more than one-third of total Navy manpower and two-thirds of the support establishment. Research on the size and distribution of the civilian work force has been hampered by the lack of a data base and models to project force structure under alternative personnel policies. There is a need to develop long-term civilian work force modeling capability supported by a structured data base. The objective of this effort was to develop an econometric model, using alternative retirement systems, to forecast the retention behavior of the Navy civilian engineers under alternative retirement and compensation systems. Five alternative retirement systems were analyzed using the model. Differences in retention by length of service, age, and grade level of the civilian employees were calculated. This allows for comparisons of retirement plans for specific subgroups of the population as well as overall.

Descriptors:

• *FORECASTING
• *PERSONNEL RETENTION
• *ECONOMIC MODELS
• DATA BASES
• MATHEMATICAL MODELS
• NAVAL PERSONNEL
• MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION
• ENGINEERS
• CIVILIAN PERSONNEL
• COMPENSATION
• ECONOMETRICS
• GRADE STRUCTURE(PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT)
• RETIREMENT(PERSONNEL)

Subject Categories:

• Personnel Management and Labor Relations

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE