A New Methodology for Modeling National Command Level Decisionmaking in War Games and Simulations.
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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This report describes and illustrates a methodology for modeling National Command Level NCL decisionmaking in large-scale crisis and conflict involving both superpowers--a methodology that progresses from abstract concepts about superpower objectives and strategy through the step-by-step procedures for building an operational computer program. Its two key components are defining an image of Soviet or U.S. decisionmaking, and moving from that imprecise image to a precise and coherent computer program. The reports sections outline the modeling approach review the most important concepts underlying the approach describe the systematic definition of alternative coherent images of the Soviet or U.S. NCL describe building an operational computer program that is both transparent and able to explain its own decisions and discuss initial experiences using prototype versions of the computer models. Author
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics