Accession Number:

ADA159046

Title:

The Succession Problem in the People's Republic of China.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1985-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

161.0

Abstract:

In light of Deng Xiaopings advanced age, the Chinese leaders, without a historical precedent of smooth institutional succession or the ability to rely on legal documents, are, once again, facing the same pattern of uncertainty, instability, conflict and major policy change related to succession. This thesis explores the problems and possible solutions of the succession issue. First, five factors are identified as the major problems associated with the Chinese succession. The Peoples Liberation Army is examined as a political and military institution on the one hand, and as a participant in the political succession struggle on the other. The concept of political power base is analyzed by examining Deng Xiaoping vs Hua Guofeng. The next chapter deal with Dengs attempt to build a consensus that will avoid repeating turbulence associated with succession. In the conclusion, an attempt is made to speculate the near term 5-10 years outcome of PRC succession politics. An epilogue discusses the United States near term interests in PRC and recommends a policy alternative.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE