Accession Number:

ADA159045

Title:

An Analysis of Government Contract Terminations.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1985-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

67.0

Abstract:

The purpose of this thesis is to investigate if the Federal Government could realize cost savings through an analysis of contracts that have been terminated. A sampling of contracts from various Federal Government agencies was gathered and divided into two categories terminations for financial reasons and terminations for non-financial reasons. Terminations for financial reasons were analyzed with a bankruptcy prediction model, while a qualitative analysis was performed on terminations for non-financial reasons. From the bankruptcy prediction model analysis, it was apparent that the model was only somewhat useful as a predictor of termination for default. It was shown from the qualitative analysis that the Federal Government was predominantly at fault in terminations for convenience 95 of the analysis sample and that 66 of the terminations for convenience in the sample were for reasons that the Federal Government could have controlled. Key words Termination for Default Termination for Convenience Altmans Z-Score Termination Prediction.

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE