The Role of Automated War Gaming in Strategic Analysis,
RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA
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For the last several years, The Rand Corporations Strategy Assessment Center RSAC has been developing a new framework for strategy analysis. This paper reviews the effort and discusses early RSAC experience with automated war gaming, which includes not only computerized force modeling and bookkeeping, but also automated decision making. The initial focus was on strategic forces. It became obvious that Rand also had to handle major conventional conflicts as well, since the use of strategic forces seemed most likely to escalate from theater conflict. Furthermore, most analysts felt that the outcomes of theater conflicts were critical to the outcome of the war even after the employment of strategic forces. Rand is therefore producing a simulation of integrated, global conflict, which assesses the capabilities of both conventional and nuclear forces in various contigencies. Rand also emphasized model flexibility that facilitates sensitivity testing of both military and political issues--providing the capability to answer a broad range of what if questions.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics