A Survey of Combat Models for Use in CARF (Combat Active Replacement Factor) Value Generation
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
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The current Combat Active Replacement Factor CARF generation system is examined, and possible changes are discussed. A new system within the Marine Corps would be enhanced by use of a combat model to produce attrition estimates, and several existing models are surveyed. Criteria for comparing combat models are discussed with consideration of CARF applications, constraints inherent to the Marine Corps, combat model characteristics, and cost of model operation. The five models surveyed are Vector-2, the Amphibious Warfare Model AWM, the Combat Sample Generator COSAGE, the Division Map Exercise DIME, and the CorpsDivision Evaluation Model CORDIVEM. Of the five, Vector-2 appears to have the greatest potential for CARF value generation, because it requires less time and manpower to simulate a given scenario, and its algorithms tend to be more transparent and economical.
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics