Accession Number:

ADA148497

Title:

An Analysis of Robust and Efficient Priors Associated with a Finite Bayesian Model for Compliance Testing.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTICS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1984-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

86.0

Abstract:

This research examines the reliability and validity of the Finite Bayesian Procedure FBP model through an evaluation of robust and efficient prior probability distributions. The model, developed by James Godfrey and Richard Andrews, presents a different approach to compliance testing in auditing. This study utilizes small and moderate-sized populations, four population error rates, a fixed sample size, and four reliability levels. In addition, four expected error rates, based on a beta prior probability distribution and ranging from very low to high, combined with three variance levels and a uniform distribution, are used to evaluate the model. The results indicate that the model is adequately reliable and valid. However, the uniform distribution seems to perform best of all prior probability distributions tested. Moreover, tradeoffs between robustness, efficiency, and reliability seem a necessity when using the Finite Bayesian Procedure model. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management
  • Statistics and Probability

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE