Accession Number:

ADA139872

Title:

Transportation Workload Forecasting (TWF) Study.

Descriptive Note:

Study rept. Apr 83-Jan 84,

Corporate Author:

ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY BETHESDA MD

Personal Author(s):

• Keenan,J. N.
• Sorenson,J. A.
• Graham,B.

Report Date:

1984-01-01

Pagination or Media Count:

301.0

Abstract:

The study examined the Army process of forecasting its overocean surface cargo transportation requirements, identifies the nature and extent of forecasting errors and examines methods of improving the forecasts. Specific analysis is made of systemic and methodological aspects of the Army forecasting process and external system factors contributing to forecasting error. The study examines several system solutions and develops models to be used within the system. Box-Jenkins and Winters Models for each of several commodities are developed and presented as accurate forecasting tools when used with program information. Author

Descriptors:

• *Marine transportation
• Military transportation
• Logistics planning
• Army planning
• Shipping
• Forecasting
• Cargo ships
• Time series analysis
• Stochastic processes
• Routing
• Resources

Subject Categories:

• Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE