Statistical Analysis of Port Systems Requirements
Final analysis rept.,
EG AND G WASHINGTON ANALYTICAL SERVICESCENTER INC ROCKVILLE MD
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This is a report of a study conducted under the Port Systems Project for the Naval Facilities Engineering Command. An objective of the Port Systems Project is to investigate methods of predicting the utility requirements of the port facilities that must be met to support future fleets. This report starts with a brief overview of the first phase of the methodology development and continues with the technical approach and the principles of statistical theory applied. Examples are used to relate these principles to the analysis to electric power requirements as an aid in understanding the analytical process inherent in the Methodology. An overview of the analytical procedures that constitute the basis of the Port Systems Requirements Prediction Methodology is presented. Computer programs used to calculate statistics are appended. Finally the results achieved are presented. The unique feature of this approach to port utility prediction is that it identifies and accommodates the contribution made by correlating the time usage of electric power consumption data among different ship classes. This results in non-zero correlation coefficients, which have an affect on the quality of the prediction. It is shown that as the number of ships using electrical power increases, the accuracy of the prediction is reduced.
- Statistics and Probability
- Computer Programming and Software
- Marine Engineering