The U.S. Army (BRL's) (Ballistic Research Laboratory) Kinetic Energy Penetrator Problem: Estimating the Probability of Response for a Given Stimulus
GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIV WASHINGTON DC INST FOR RELIABILITY AND RISK ANALYSIS
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The crew compartment of an army vehicle is protected by an armor plate. It is desired to test the strength of this armor plate in order to assess its appropriateness for use in the vehicle. A specimen of the plate is taken and projectiles are fired at different points on the plate at different striking velocities. If a projectile penetrates the armor it is said to have defeated the armor. Our goal is to determine the relationship between the striking velocity and the probability of penetration. Due to the expensive nature of all items involved, this goal must be achieved with a minimum amount of testing. A Bayesian approach for solving this problem is presented here and illustrated using some real data.
- Statistics and Probability
- Ammunition and Explosives