Numerical Analysis of a Battle from History
DEFENCE OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS ESTABLISHMENT WEST BYFLEET (UNITED KINGDOM)
Pagination or Media Count:
A numerical method and computer programs for computing the probability of the outcomes of a type oof heterogeneous battle model can be found in AD-A129 468. The method requires the numbers of weapons involved, their relative effectiveness, and the loss levels at which victory is attained. In order to test the method and its applicability, Professor N H Gibbs, formerly Professor of the History of War at Oxford, was asked to provide suitable numerical data from historical battles. No restriction was placed on the period from which the battles might be taken. Data regarding three battles of the Hundred Years War was provided, namely Crecy, Poitier, and Agincourt. These battles were of a similar type. In all cases a smaller, well disciplined, and better armed force, in a good defensive position beat a much larger force. In this paper we consider the battle of Crecy. We give first an edited version of the material provided by Professor Gibbs. We then consider the choice of appropriate attrition functions. Some examples of the computed results are given.
- Humanities and History
- Numerical Mathematics
- Computer Programming and Software
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics