Prediction of Infantry Squad Errors during Training: Pilot Investigation.
Final rept. for period ending 1980,
ARMY RESEARCH INST FOR THE BEHAVIORAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCES ALEXANDRIA VA
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Individuals with previous company command experience were asked to predict the errors made by rifle squads during a MOUTMilitary operations in urbanized terrain exercise based on a written description of the training setting. The agreement between these predictions and the errors that actually occurred was determined. Although experienced individuals could predict errors made by squads, the overlap among the predictions was not high. Actual and predicted errors reflected both individual and squad mistakes. The use of experienced individuals to predict specific team and individual errors likely to be made by trainees in performing particular missions appears to be an approach worth further exploration. Documentation of these predictions could provide very useful training requirement information to incoming commanders and trainers. Such documentation would provide continuity and maintain quality in training despite the constant turnover in training personnel. Further modifications of the procedure used in the present study and investigation of additional issues such as identifying errors, that are difficult to correct are needed, however, before such guidelines can be incorporated in training materials.
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