Recreation and Natural Area Needs Assessment (GREAT III)
OBLINGER-MCCALEB WICHITA KS
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Utilizing an on-site interview system, recreation activity for 1981 was measured. There were 448,400 recreation visitors to GREAT III in 1981 based upon results of the interviews. Activities reported by recreationists were quite varied. A second survey was conducted by telephone to determine latent, or unexpressed, demands of the population-at-large along GREAT III. Projections of future recreation use for year 1990 and 2000 were prepared under two alternative assumptions. First, it was assumed that recreation use would increase in direct proportion to population growth. A second projection was made based upon the telephone survey respondents planned increase in Mississippi river activity. A resultant range of visitation for 1990 was projected to be 549,500 to 692,200 visitor-days, growing to a range of 567,000 to 890,000 by year 2000. These projections were then translated into land needs, and use-intensity measures. According to these projections, intensity of use as measured in visitor-days per acre of recreation land may double by the year 2000, resulting in a deficit of nearly 36,000 acres of recreation lands.
- Civil Engineering