Comparison of Eight Demand Forecasting Models.
AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTICS
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This thesis studied eight forecasting models as a possible replacement for the model currently used at the Defense Electronics Supply Center DESC. This model is a double exponential smoothing model with trend corrector and an alpha of 0.5. The models included in this study were Naive, Maximum Likelihood, Polynomial Fitting, Moving Averages, and Exponential Smoothing. The results indicated that a single exponential smoothing model with an alpha of 0.3 may be the best model of those studied. Author
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