Accession Number:

ADA110974

Title:

Comparison of Eight Demand Forecasting Models.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTICS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1981-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

74.0

Abstract:

This thesis studied eight forecasting models as a possible replacement for the model currently used at the Defense Electronics Supply Center DESC. This model is a double exponential smoothing model with trend corrector and an alpha of 0.5. The models included in this study were Naive, Maximum Likelihood, Polynomial Fitting, Moving Averages, and Exponential Smoothing. The results indicated that a single exponential smoothing model with an alpha of 0.3 may be the best model of those studied. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Administration and Management

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE