Accession Number:

ADA101986

Title:

Calibration of Probabilities: The State of the Art to 1980

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept.

Corporate Author:

DECISION RESEARCH EUGENE OR

Personal Author(s):

• Lichtenstein, Sarah
• Fischhoff, Baruch
• Phillips, Lawrence D.

Report Date:

1981-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

69.0

Abstract:

This paper presents a comprehensive review of the research literature on an aspect of probability assessment called calibration. Calibration measures the validity of probability assessments. Being well-calibrated is critical for optimal decision-making and for the development of decision-aiding techniques.

Descriptors:

• *STOCHASTIC PROCESSES
• *CALIBRATION
• *DECISION MAKING
• *SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE
• CONFIDENCE LIMITS
• VECTOR ANALYSIS
• STATISTICAL SAMPLES
• BASE LINES

Subject Categories:

• Statistics and Probability

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE