Accession Number:

ADA099507

Title:

On the Study of Statistical Intuitions.

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept. Jan 80-Apr 81,

Corporate Author:

STANFORD UNIV CA DEPT OF PSYCHOLOGY

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1981-05-15

Pagination or Media Count:

49.0

Abstract:

The study of intuitions and errors in judgment under uncertainty is complicated by several factors discrepancies between acceptance and application of normative rules effects of content on the application of rules Socratic hints that create intuitions while testing them demand characteristics of within-subject experiments subjects interpretations of experimental messages according to standard conversational rules. The positive analyses of judgmental error in terms of heuristics may be supplemented by a negative analysis, which seeks to explain why the correct rule is not intuitively compelling. A negative analysis of non-regressive prediction is outlined. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Psychology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE