Accession Number:

ADA094594

Title:

An Econometric Analysis of Arms Transfers to the ASEAN Countries.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1980-09-01

Pagination or Media Count:

88.0

Abstract:

An econometric analysis was carried out on military expenditures and arms imports data for ASEAN Association of Southeast Asia Nations countries using both single and simultaneous equation models. A forecasting model was developed following the econometric model. Both models were applied to actual arms transfers data for observations during 1968-1976. The empirical result of the econometric model demonstrated the simultaneity of the two variables above and the result of the forecasting model encouraged the use of the lagged variables to predict the values of military expenditures and arms imports. Both models are useful in the policy analysis of the arms transfers within the ASEAN countries. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Economics and Cost Analysis
  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE