Accession Number:

ADA093043

Title:

Collateral Damage Probability Models

Descriptive Note:

Final rept. 7 May 1979-22 Jan 1980

Corporate Author:

SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INC MCLEAN VA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1980-01-22

Pagination or Media Count:

177.0

Abstract:

This report includes an analysis of the Japanese structures damage data and application of this information in a targeting context for problems related to collateral damage. The Japanese data analysis focused on problems currently being investigated in DNA-sponsored collateral damage programs. This data analysis was performed to support DNA efforts directed toward assessing the significance of blast wave shielding, building orientation and building characteristics with regard to the vulnerability of residential structures. A targeting analysis to access the impact of these vulnerability parameters to collateral damage is included in this report. The targeting analysis is performed and evaluated relative to an example small town typical of those located in Western Europe. Also included in this analysis is an assessment of the distance damage function tail relative to collateral damage, and demonstration of a shoot-look-shoot targeting strategy to minimize collateral damage. This report also contains a prototype targeting algorithm developed for predicting collateral damage to urban area structures. The mathematics underlying this algorithm and demonstration of its utility are extensively documented in this report. The size and complexity of this algorithm, designed primarily for area targets, has been deliberately suppressed for ease in operation on a programmable hand-held calculator.

Subject Categories:

  • Structural Engineering and Building Technology
  • Armor

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE