Accession Number:

ADA080887

Title:

On the Normal Convergence of a Class of Simple Batch Epidemics.

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept.,

Corporate Author:

FLORIDA STATE UNIV TALLAHASSEE DEPT OF STATISTICS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1979-10-01

Pagination or Media Count:

18.0

Abstract:

A group of n susceptible individuals exposed to a contagious disease is considered. It is assumed that at each instant in time one or more susceptible individuals can contract the disease. The progress of this epidemic is modeled by a stochastic process X sub n t, t in 0, infinity representing the number of infective individuals at time t. It is shown that X sub n t, with the suitable standardization and under a mild condition, converges in distribution as n approaches infinity to a normal random variable for all t in 0, t sub 0, where t sub 0 is an identifiable number. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Medicine and Medical Research
  • Statistics and Probability

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE