Accession Number:

ADA076122

Title:

Cross-National Crisis Indicators Project.

Descriptive Note:

Final technical rept. 1 Oct 77-30 Sep 78,

Corporate Author:

MARYLAND UNIV COLLEGE PARK DEPT OF GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS

Personal Author(s):

• Hopple ,Gerald W.

Report Date:

1978-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

346.0

Abstract:

The Cross-National Crisis Indicators CNCI Project was designed to enhance the crisis warning aspect of the Crisis Management Program of the Defense Advanced Research Projects AgencyCybernetics Technology Office DARPACTO. The CNCI Project emphasized the exploration, development, and preliminary testing of both indicator systems and models designed to facilitate conflict and crisis tracking and forecasting. The conceptual, theoretical, and empirical subtasks of the CNCI research program include The refinement of the concepts of crisis, international crisis, and domestic crisis The assembly of empirical indicator systems The construction and elaboration of interstate and domestic crisis models and The illumination of linkages between interstate and intrastate crises. The final chapter emphasizes the importance of crossing levels of analysis and attempting to anchor crisis theory within a more general international relations theoretical edifice.

Descriptors:

• *CRISIS MANAGEMENT
• *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
• *WARNING SYSTEMS
• FOREIGN POLICY
• NATIONAL SECURITY
• EMERGENCIES
• DECISION MAKING
• ECONOMICS
• GOVERNMENT(FOREIGN)
• MONITORING
• THEORY
• FORECASTING
• TRACKING
• INTERNAL
• COMPUTER APPLICATIONS
• PATTERN RECOGNITION
• CONFLICT
• DOMESTIC
• INDICATORS

Subject Categories:

• Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE