Accession Number:

ADA073960

Title:

Development and Evaluation of Cross-Impact Analysis as a Crisis Decision-Aid.

Descriptive Note:

Master's thesis,

Corporate Author:

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1979-06-01

Pagination or Media Count:

189.0

Abstract:

This thesis reviews the decision-making dilemma caused by information uncertainty and ambiguity produced during crisis situations. Several cross-impact analysis techniques are reviewed and evaluate as possible crisis decision-aids. Cross-event analysis is selected and extended for demonstration in a hypothetical crisis situation involving South Asia. The selected techniques is operationalized and employed in a controlled environment to assess policy response options to the hypothetical crisis. The thesis then assesses the techniques conceptual limitations, and evaluates its utility as a potential crisis decision-aiding methodology. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE