Accession Number:

ADA065545

Title:

Tropical Cyclone Strike Probability Forecasting.

Descriptive Note:

Final rept.,

Corporate Author:

SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INC MCLEAN VA

Personal Author(s):

• Jarrell,Jerry D.

Report Date:

1978-12-01

Pagination or Media Count:

49.0

Abstract:

A system to infer the probability of a tropical cyclones striking within an area, given a tropical cyclone forecast, is described. The results of a sequence of tests are presented, which indicate the system reasonably specifies the desired probability. Some envisioned operational applications of tropical cyclone strike probability information are described some are illustrated. Author

Descriptors:

• *WEATHER FORECASTING
• *TROPICAL CYCLONES
• NAVY
• TEST METHODS
• METEOROLOGICAL DATA
• STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
• TYPHOONS

Subject Categories:

• Meteorology

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE