Forecast Verification as a Function of Reconnaissance Platform.
FLEET WEATHER CENTRAL/JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER FPO SAN FRANCISCO 96630
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This study examines tropical cyclone forecast accuracy as a function of reconnaissance platform upon which the forecast was based. It is shown that for the two years of data studied, forecasts based on aircraft fixes are the most accurate. Both 24- and 48-hour forecast accuracy is presented, although it must be realized that 48-hour forecast accuracy is heavily dependent on the accuracy of the recurvaturenon-recurvature decision made at the time of the forecast. Author