A Validation of the Structure of Combat Intelligence Ratings
ARMY RESEARCH INST FOR THE BEHAVIORAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCES ALEXANDRIA VA
Pagination or Media Count:
A validation of a previously derived four-dimensional descriptive structure for evaluating the quality of combat intelligence data was undertaken. Fifty-six officers in the Intelligence Officers Advanced course were split into two groups one group rated 40 messages from the Battle of the Bulge scenario used in the original research, and the second group rated 40 messages from a scenario based on a hypothetical mid-intensity European conflict. Each message was rated on 50 rating scales previously used, as well as on four new scales based on the findings of the previous research. Factor analyses of the results showed that the structure of ratings within both scenarios is basically the same as that derived from the enlisted analysts. Two concepts, TRUTH and RELEVANCE IMPORTANCETHREAT, were major factors in the evaluation of intelligence information in all cases. Two of the new scales, True and Predictable, reflect the TRUTH dimension, and the other two new scales, Important and Relevant, represent the RELEVANCEIMPORTANCETHREAT dimension. The structure of intelligence information quality validated in the present study is not well represented by the current ratings of Information Accuracy and Reliability of Source. A new Accuracy scale could capture a major portion of the variance in quality ratings, and the other new scales evaluated here provide a basis for further development of supplementary ratings.
- Military Intelligence
- Military Operations, Strategy and Tactics