Accession Number:

ADA053190

Title:

Progress Report on the Cross-National Crisis Indicators Project.

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept. 1 Oct 77-31 Mar 78,

Corporate Author:

MARYLAND UNIV COLLEGE PARK DEPT OF GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS

Report Date:

1978-03-01

Pagination or Media Count:

74.0

Abstract:

The Cross-National Crisis Indicators CNCI Project focuses on the crisis warning aspect of the Crisis Management Program of the Defense Advanced Research Project Agencys Cybernetics Technology Office. The tasks of the CNCI Project include the development of intrastate indicators of crises, the development of interstate indicators of crises, and the construction and testing of integrated crisis warning models. Other tasks include expansion of the basic state sample, the updating of the state classification scheme data set, and the illumination of the nexus between intrastate and interstate crises. Existing indicators in the various internal and external realms are discussed. The goals of developing and testing integrated crisis warning models are delineated in the context of three specific tasks the search for linkages between interstate and intrastate crises the development of the action-reaction model and the utilization of several major theoretical perspectives. Among the latter are the preconditionsprecipitants, diffusioncontagion, and status inconsistency models.

Subject Categories:

  • Government and Political Science
  • Statistics and Probability
  • Computer Programming and Software

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE