Accession Number:

ADA052810

Title:

The Mean Duration Time of Carrier-Borne Epidemics.

Descriptive Note:

Technical rept.,

Corporate Author:

FLORIDA STATE UNIV TALLAHASSEE DEPT OF STATISTICS

Personal Author(s):

Report Date:

1977-08-01

Pagination or Media Count:

20.0

Abstract:

In this paper, the two-population model for a carrier-borne epidemic posed by Bailey The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases and its Applications, 1975, p. 211 is formulated in a mathematically tractable manner. This model reflects the epidemiology of diseases such as malaria, where the progress of the disease depends on the interaction of a population of mosquitoes and a population of humans. An expression for the mean duration time of the epidemic is obtained and a computationally feasible algorithm is presented. Results of a study investigating the consequences on the mean duration time of varying the infection and removal rates in the two populations are given. Author

Subject Categories:

  • Medicine and Medical Research
  • Statistics and Probability

Distribution Statement:

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE