The Mean Duration Time of Carrier-Borne Epidemics.
FLORIDA STATE UNIV TALLAHASSEE DEPT OF STATISTICS
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In this paper, the two-population model for a carrier-borne epidemic posed by Bailey The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases and its Applications, 1975, p. 211 is formulated in a mathematically tractable manner. This model reflects the epidemiology of diseases such as malaria, where the progress of the disease depends on the interaction of a population of mosquitoes and a population of humans. An expression for the mean duration time of the epidemic is obtained and a computationally feasible algorithm is presented. Results of a study investigating the consequences on the mean duration time of varying the infection and removal rates in the two populations are given. Author
- Medicine and Medical Research
- Statistics and Probability